By contrast, the industry leader Polymarket prohibits U.S traders from the platform but does not require a know-your-customer process to validate who is who. Polymarket's bets are denominated in cryptocurrency, whereas Kalshi's are settled in regular dollars.

Roughly 60% betting odds does not equate to a 60% to 40% lead for Trump in polls, but rather indicates election bettors expect Trump to win about 60 out of 100 election si

Presidential predictor Allan Lichtman and pollster Nate Silver project that different candidates will win, while betting odds are starting to swing heavily in one candidate's favor.

The news is great for Trump, who now has better odds at winning the 2024 election than he did in each of his previous campaigns. According to the average of RealClearPolitics bookmakers, Trump has a 49.4 percent chance of winning while Harris sits at 49.1 percent. And there's still plenty of time for the odds to change.

Trump has touted his lead in the election betting markets as a sign of the election tilting in his favor, while billionaire Elon Musk has declared betting odds more accurate than polls.

After trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in the betting markets for 26 consecutive days, former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead.

Four accounts on crypto-based prediction market Polymarket that placed large bets on former President Donald Trump winning the 2024 election, and have been the subject of much online speculation, are owned by non-Americans or a non-American,

With under three weeks until the presidential election, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in prediction markets, showing a 60% chance of victory. Betting dynamics suggest potential influence from significant bets totaling $30 million.